Primary Candidate Qualification
This past Friday was the final day for candidates to qualify to be on the Georgia primary ballot in July. Four persons registered to run for the Fourth District Congressional seat.
Three were Democrats. The first, naturally, was incumbent Cynthia McKinney. The second was Hank Johnson, a lawyer and DeKalb County Commissioner. The third was architect John Coyne.
Only one Republican registered, thus making the Republican primary an unopposed nomination. That nominee will be Catherine Davis, who you may recall was the Republican nominee for the seat two years ago. Jerry Wyatt did not register to run.
Given these candidates, I believe it is fair to predict that, between the two parties, the Democrat will win. And the battle for that nomination will be between Cynthia McKinney and Hank Johnson.
Two years ago, McKinney had five Democratic challengers, and managed not only to win, but to pull 51% of the ballots cast. More than her five opponents combined. She then faced Republican Catherine Davis, who was also unopposed in the Republican primary in 2004.
McKinney did virtually no campaigning after the primary that I can recall, yet she raised over ten times the money that Davis did, and she eventually defeated Davis in a landslide of 64% to 36%.
This was a non-incumbent McKinney who already had her fair share of controversy. And although her recent behavior has undoubtedly lost her some number of supporters, I hesitate to believe that anything she's done could cause a third of her voters to cast their ballots for the Republican in the race.
Thus, as far as the two major parties are concerned, the Fourth Congressional District's representative will be chosen in July, not November. It is the Democratic primary that will determine whether Cynthia McKinney or Hank Johnson will be the Fourth District's representative in Congress.
Given my somewhat fatalistic outlook on this election, some may wonder why I have thrown myself into the race. I trust that my next post will answer those questions.
Three were Democrats. The first, naturally, was incumbent Cynthia McKinney. The second was Hank Johnson, a lawyer and DeKalb County Commissioner. The third was architect John Coyne.
Only one Republican registered, thus making the Republican primary an unopposed nomination. That nominee will be Catherine Davis, who you may recall was the Republican nominee for the seat two years ago. Jerry Wyatt did not register to run.
Given these candidates, I believe it is fair to predict that, between the two parties, the Democrat will win. And the battle for that nomination will be between Cynthia McKinney and Hank Johnson.
Two years ago, McKinney had five Democratic challengers, and managed not only to win, but to pull 51% of the ballots cast. More than her five opponents combined. She then faced Republican Catherine Davis, who was also unopposed in the Republican primary in 2004.
McKinney did virtually no campaigning after the primary that I can recall, yet she raised over ten times the money that Davis did, and she eventually defeated Davis in a landslide of 64% to 36%.
This was a non-incumbent McKinney who already had her fair share of controversy. And although her recent behavior has undoubtedly lost her some number of supporters, I hesitate to believe that anything she's done could cause a third of her voters to cast their ballots for the Republican in the race.
Thus, as far as the two major parties are concerned, the Fourth Congressional District's representative will be chosen in July, not November. It is the Democratic primary that will determine whether Cynthia McKinney or Hank Johnson will be the Fourth District's representative in Congress.
Given my somewhat fatalistic outlook on this election, some may wonder why I have thrown myself into the race. I trust that my next post will answer those questions.


